GLXY

A $3.5 billion note issue, 133 delivered megawatts, and a third consecutive quarterly loss

GLXY · Galaxy Digital Inc. · Equity Research Report · as of August 13, 2026

Price $21.08 Market
Market cap $8,251M Estimate
Class A shares 194,798,949 Filed
Class B shares 196,596,698 Filed
Pricing basis Aug 12, 2026 close Market

Framing

  1. Galaxy reported a second-quarter net loss of $85.3M on August 5, 2026, its third consecutive quarterly loss, after $216.3M in the first quarter and $481.7M in the fourth quarter of 2025. Adjusted gross profit was $43.4M. Filed
  2. The Data Centers segment produced its first revenue in the quarter: $18.9M of leasing revenue and $5.8M of operating revenue, with all 133 MW of critical IT load under the CoreWeave Phase I lease in service at 30 June. Filed
  3. On 28 July a wholly owned subsidiary closed $3.5B of senior secured notes due 2031 to fund Helios Phase II. Total equity at 30 June was $2.72B, so the single financing exceeds the equity base behind it. Filed

01Snapshot

Key figures, each tagged by provenance.

MetricValueBasis
Revenues and gains from operations (Q2 2026)$8,710.5MFiled 8-K, Aug 5, 2026. Gross of transaction expenses of $8,485.8M.
Adjusted gross profit (Q2 2026)$43.4MFiled 8-K, Aug 5, 2026. Company-defined non-GAAP measure.
Net loss (Q2 2026)($85.3M)Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026
Net loss (FY2025)($241.3M)Filed 8-K financial supplement, Aug 5, 2026
Total assets (Jun 30, 2026)$10,844.0MFiled 8-K, Aug 5, 2026
Total equity (Jun 30, 2026)$2,720.1MFiled 8-K, Aug 5, 2026. Of which $896.7M is noncontrolling interest.
Cash and stablecoins (Jun 30, 2026)$2,459MFiled 8-K, Aug 5, 2026. $896M cash, $1,563M stablecoins.
Notes payable (Jun 30, 2026)$3,262.8MFiled 8-K, Aug 5, 2026. $437.0M current, $2,825.8M non-current. Excludes the July notes.
Delivered critical IT load133 MWFiled 8-K, Aug 5, 2026
Market capitalization$8,251MEstimate 391,395,647 shares (Class A and Class B, June 30, 2026, Filed) × $21.08 (Aug 12, 2026 close, Market). Share count and price carry different dates.

02Business model

Galaxy Digital Inc. runs two businesses that share a balance sheet and very little else. The first is an institutional digital-asset platform: trading, lending, investment banking, asset management, staking and tokenisation infrastructure, sold to institutions and reported in two segments, Global Markets and Asset Management & Infrastructure Solutions. The second is a data center developer that leases power and critical IT capacity to computing tenants under long-term contracts. A third segment, Treasury & Corporate, holds the firm's own digital asset and investment positions.

The company is the surviving structure of a reorganization completed on May 13, 2025, which moved the group from Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd, a Cayman company quoted in Toronto, into a Delaware corporation listed on Nasdaq. Economic ownership below the corporation still sits partly in Galaxy Digital Holdings LP, and the Class B shares track that interest.

How each side is paid differs sharply, and this is the single most important structural fact about the company. Digital Assets earns spreads, fees and net interest that move with market activity and with the price of the assets themselves. Data Centers earns contracted rent under a 15-year lease, indifferent to those prices once capacity is in service. In the second quarter of 2026 the first produced $66M of adjusted gross profit and the second $20M. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026.

Analyst assumption

The two businesses are treated here as separately valuable rather than as one enterprise, because their cash flows have different drivers, different counterparties and different financing. Galaxy reports segment equity allocation, roughly 36% Digital Assets, 36% Data Centers and 28% Treasury & Corporate at June 30, 2026, which supports that reading but does not compel it. The company files one set of consolidated statements and does not present the segments as separable entities.

03Revenue streams

Reported revenue and the profit that survives transaction expenses are two very different figures at this company, and the gap is the point.

Galaxy's headline revenue is a gross number. Of the $8,557.3M of revenues booked in the second quarter of 2026, $8,483.0M was digital asset sales, matched by $8,439.5M of digital asset sales costs. The turnover is real but almost none of it is margin. A reader who takes revenue as a measure of the business will overstate it by two orders of magnitude, which is why the company reports adjusted gross profit alongside it. Filed 8-K financial supplement, Aug 5, 2026.

StreamQ2 2026Q1 2026What it is, and how durable
Global Markets$49M$31MTrading, lending and investment banking fees. Adjusted gross profit rose 58% on the quarter while trading volumes fell 7%. Cyclical. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026
Asset Management & Infrastructure Solutions$17M$18MFees on $7.1B of combined assets under management and under stake, itself down 12% on the quarter with digital asset prices. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026
Data Centers$20M$3MContracted lease revenue. First full revenue quarter; $18.9M leasing plus $5.8M operating revenue. Fifteen-year term. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026
Treasury & Corporate($42M)($140M)Not a stream but a position: unrealized gains and losses on the firm's own digital assets and investments. Directionally a market bet. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026
Total adjusted gross profit$43M($88M)Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026

The durability ranking follows from the contracts rather than from the figures. Data Centers revenue is the only stream with a stated term and a named counterparty. Global Markets and Asset Management depend on activity levels and asset prices. Treasury & Corporate has no contractual claim on anything and swung $98M between the two quarters shown.

04Industry & market backdrop

Galaxy sits at the junction of two markets that have very little to do with each other, and its results now depend on both.

Digital assets

The second quarter of 2026 was a falling market. Galaxy attributes its loss primarily to the depreciation of digital asset prices in the period, records $181.3M of impairment of digital assets in the quarter and $465.8M in the half, and reports its own assets under management and under stake down 12% on price movement. It also states that industry-wide trading volumes fell by more than a double-digit percentage sequentially, citing The Block, while its own volumes fell 7%. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026.

AI and high-performance computing infrastructure

The data center side is a power-constrained market rather than a demand-constrained one. Galaxy's own disclosure describes capacity moving through the ERCOT interconnection process in Texas, with two further one-gigawatt load requests under study at Helios and additional sites acquired subject to that process. The binding constraint on the segment is the pace at which approved power is delivered, not the availability of tenants: the company states that 830 MW of approved capacity at Helios is not yet under lease and that discussions with prospective tenants continue. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026.

Analyst assumption

The two backdrops are treated as uncorrelated here. A digital asset drawdown of the kind seen in the second quarter does not mechanically affect a signed 15-year lease with a computing tenant. The link that does exist runs through financing: both businesses are funded from one balance sheet, and a sustained drawdown in the first reduces the equity available to support the second. That channel is real but slower than the price moves that drive quarterly results.

05Competitive position

Named peers on comparable metrics. Galaxy competes in two different peer sets and is unusual in belonging to both.

On the data center side the comparable set is the group of operators converting or building large power positions in the United States for computing tenants. On the digital asset side it is institutional trading and asset management platforms. Very few companies appear in both lists, which is the competitive fact worth stating: Galaxy's peers on one side are not its peers on the other, and no single multiple describes it.

CompanyComparable onWhere it differs
Applied Digital (APLD)Contracted AI data center capacity under long-term take-or-pay leases1.4 GW contracted critical IT load against Galaxy's 526 MW under the CoreWeave leases; no digital asset trading business. Filed APLD 8-K, Jul 27, 2026
IREN Limited (IREN)Owned power, self-build, mixed mining and AI capacityRetains a substantial self-mining business; Galaxy has exited proprietary mining to near nothing, $2.6M of revenue in the quarter
TeraWulf (WULF)Single large campus leased to a computing tenant, financed with project-level secured notesComparable financing structure at smaller scale; no asset management arm
Cipher Mining (CIFR)Texas interconnection queue positions converted to HPC leasesSimilar ERCOT exposure; no balance-sheet digital asset trading
Hut 8 (HUT)Power portfolio plus a digital asset treasuryThe nearest structural analogue on the two-businesses point, at roughly a quarter of Galaxy's total assets
Bitdeer (BTDR)Long-term AI/HPC colocation leasingContracted a 121 MW lease in Norway rather than Texas; manufactures its own mining hardware

Against the digital asset platforms, the comparison that matters is scale of the loan book and counterparty count, and Galaxy discloses both: an average loan book of $1,438M and 1,741 total trading counterparties at the end of the second quarter, up 1% and 3% respectively on the quarter. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026. Competitors on that side are largely private or are subsidiaries of larger institutions, and comparable figures are not published, so a like-for-like table cannot be built and is not attempted here.

06Financial performance

Multi-period. Figures in US$ thousands unless stated.

The trend is stated first: Galaxy earned money in 2023 and 2024, lost money in 2025, and has now lost money in three consecutive quarters. The losses are driven by the Treasury & Corporate position rather than by the operating businesses, which is why the quarterly swing is so wide.

MeasureFY2023FY2024FY2025Basis
Revenues and gains from operations$52,209,639$43,757,790$61,355,667Filed 8-K financial supplement, Aug 5, 2026
Adjusted gross profit$617,216$1,016,014$426,134Filed 8-K financial supplement, Aug 5, 2026
Net income / (loss)$228,514$346,722($241,349)Filed 8-K financial supplement, Aug 5, 2026

Revenue rose 40% between 2024 and 2025 while adjusted gross profit fell 58%. That is not a contradiction: the revenue line is gross digital asset sales, and it grows with turnover regardless of whether the turnover is profitable. Adjusted gross profit is the figure that moved with the business.

The last five quarters

QuarterAdj. gross profitNet income / (loss)
Q2 2025$299,232$30,691
Q3 2025$728,641$505,057
Q4 2025($398,175)($481,666)
Q1 2026($87,922)($216,311)
Q2 2026$43,364($85,316)

Filed 8-K financial supplement, Aug 5, 2026.

Three things are visible in that sequence. The swing between the best and worst quarter shown is $986.8M of net income on a company whose total equity is $2,720.1M. The direction of the swing follows digital asset prices. And the second quarter of 2026 is the first in which adjusted gross profit returned to positive while the net line stayed negative, because the impairment and the operating cost base sit below that measure.

Operating costs excluding transaction expenses rose year on year: compensation and benefits $84.0M against $65.0M, technology $16.3M against $11.6M, and notes interest expense $25.1M against $14.2M, the last reflecting the debt raised to build data centers. Impairment of digital assets was $181.3M against $127.5M. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026.

07Capital structure & dilution

Two share classes, a large and recently enlarged secured debt stack, and an automatic shelf.

Equity

Two classes were outstanding at June 30, 2026: 194,798,949 shares of Class A common stock and 196,596,698 shares of convertible Class B common stock. Class B carries a par value of $0.0000000001 and no book value; it tracks the limited partnership interests in Galaxy Digital Holdings LP held by the noncontrolling interest, and is exchangeable into Class A. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026.

The two classes are close to equal in number, so the distinction changes the share count by a factor of two depending on which question is asked. On a Class A basis the market capitalization at the 12 August close is $4,106M; on a fully exchanged basis it is $8,251M. This document uses the fully exchanged figure throughout, because the Class B interests are exchangeable into the listed class and the consolidated financial statements already consolidate the partnership.

Analyst assumption

The fully exchanged count is the right denominator for a market capitalization here, but it is a choice rather than a filed figure. Galaxy's own diluted earnings per share calculation used 192,869,271 weighted average shares for the second quarter, a Class A basis, because the loss made the exchange anti-dilutive; for the six months it used 390,465,556. The company therefore presents both bases itself depending on the period, which is the clearest evidence that neither is uniquely correct.

Debt

Notes payable at June 30, 2026 stood at $3,262.8M, being $437.0M current and $2,825.8M non-current. That figure predates the largest financing in the company's history: on July 28, 2026 Galaxy Helios Data Centers II LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary, completed a private offering of $3.5B of senior secured notes due 2031, with proceeds to fund construction of Helios I Phase II. Filed 8-K, Jul 28, 2026 and 8-K, Aug 5, 2026.

Pro forma for that issue, secured and unsecured borrowings approach $6.8B against total equity of $2.72B. The notes sit at a project subsidiary rather than at the parent, which is the standard structure for this kind of build and which matters for where the recourse runs. This document does not have the indenture terms and does not characterise the recourse.

Shelf and resale capacity

Galaxy filed an automatic shelf registration statement on Form S-3ASR on May 8, 2026, together with a resale registration statement on Form S-3. A well-known seasoned issuer's automatic shelf carries no stated ceiling, so no dollar capacity figure can be given. Twenty-one prospectuses under Rule 424 have been filed since May 2025, the most recent on May 21, 2026. Filed SEC filing index for CIK 0001859392, searched Aug 5, 2026.

Dilution already taken

The May 2025 capital raise sold 31,600,000 shares of Class A common stock, with an option over a further 4,740,000 shares from the founder rather than from the company. Thirteen underwriters took the offering. Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025. That syndicate matters again in section 8, because most of it now publishes research on the company.

08Valuation

Multiples shown with their basis and pricing date. No target price.

MeasureValueBasis
Price to book3.03×Estimate $8,251M market capitalization ÷ $2,720.1M total equity at Jun 30, 2026. Price Aug 12, 2026, equity Jun 30, 2026.
Price to equity attributable to the company, mixed basis4.53×Estimate $8,251M ÷ $1,823.4M stockholders' equity excluding the $896.7M noncontrolling interest. The numerator is the fully exchanged capitalization and the denominator excludes the interest the Class B shares track, so the two are struck on different bases. This ratio brackets nothing and measures nothing on its own; it is shown because a reader comparing sources will meet it.
Price to equity attributable to the company, consistent basis2.25×Estimate $4,106M ÷ $1,823.4M. The numerator is 194,798,949 Class A shares (Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026) × $21.08 (Aug 12, 2026 close, Market), and the denominator excludes the $896.7M noncontrolling interest the Class B shares track. Numerator and denominator are both parent-only. This and the 3.19× above are the two internally consistent readings, parent-only and whole-entity, and it is those two that bracket the answer.
Market capitalization to annualised Data Centers leasing revenuen/aNot struck. Phase I reached full delivery only at quarter end, so the $18.9M booked in the quarter is a partial period and annualising it would misstate the run rate in both directions.
Enterprise value multiplesn/aNot struck. See methodology: an enterprise value is not derived here.

Galaxy gives one forward figure of its own that a reader can use without the file deriving anything: it expects Phase I to generate quarterly leasing revenue of approximately $80M and a project-level adjusted EBITDA margin above 90% beginning in the third quarter of 2026. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026. That is the company's expectation, not this document's estimate, and it is stated here as such.

Third-party coverage

Every row is market data: attributed, dated, tagged, never adopted. Price at publication is the close on the last trading day before the action, taken from the exchange's own daily record for GLXY, and this convention governs every row in the table. Galaxy's own investor relations page, read on August 5, 2026, names sixteen firms and their analysts; it publishes no ratings or targets, and its Type and Rating columns are empty. Rows carrying a rating and a target are cited to the note that published them.

FirmAnalystDateRatingTargetPrice at pub.Disclosed conflict
Rosenblatt SecuritiesChris BrendlerAug 3, 2026Buy, reiterated$35.00 Market$21.01Underwriter, May 2025 offering (449,053 shares). Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025
Compass PointEd Engel, Michael DonovanAug 5, 2026Buy$40.00 Market$22.14Underwriter, May 2025 offering (449,053 shares). Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025
Compass PointEd Engel, Michael DonovanJul 28, 2026Buy$40.00 Market$22.70As above. Prior action, retained to show the target held across the quarter.
Goldman SachsJames YaroNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aUnderwriter and representative, May 2025 offering (9,662,946 shares). Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025
JefferiesJonathan PetersenNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aUnderwriter and representative, May 2025 offering (8,382,315 shares). Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025
Morgan StanleyJames FaucetteNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aUnderwriter and representative, May 2025 offering (5,471,789 shares). Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025
Canaccord GenuityJoseph VafiNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aUnderwriter, May 2025 offering (1,347,158 shares). Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldBrett KnoblauchNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aUnderwriter, May 2025 offering (1,347,158 shares). Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025
Piper SandlerPatrick MoleyNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aUnderwriter, May 2025 offering (1,347,158 shares). Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025
BTIGGregory LewisNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aUnderwriter, May 2025 offering (449,053 shares). Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025
ATB Capital MarketsMartin TonerNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aATB Securities Inc. was an underwriter, May 2025 offering (449,053 shares). Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025
The Benchmark CompanyMark PalmerNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aUnderwriter, May 2025 offering (449,053 shares). Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025
H.C. Wainwright & Co.Mike ColonneseNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aUnderwriter, May 2025 offering (449,053 shares). Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025
CitiPeter ChristiansenNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aNot established. Not among the May 2025 underwriters.
Citizens JMPDevin Ryan, Greg MillerNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aNot established. Not among the May 2025 underwriters.
ChardanBill PapanastasiouNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aNot established. Not among the May 2025 underwriters.
Maxim GroupMatthew GalinkoNot establishedNot establishedNot establishedn/aNot established. Not among the May 2025 underwriters.

The shape of the coverage

Sixteen firms follow Galaxy according to the company's own investor relations page, read on August 5, 2026. Two ratings and targets are established here, both Buy: Rosenblatt at $35 on 3 August, reduced from $39, and Compass Point at $40 on 5 August, unchanged from its 28 July note. The spread between the two established targets is $5, or 14% of the lower. No published consensus figure is reported here, because none was retrieved from a source that attributes and dates it; the count used here is a floor rather than a current figure.

The relationship worth stating is between the covering set and the syndicate that took the company public in the United States. Thirteen firms underwrote the May 2025 Class A offering. Twelve of those thirteen appear on Galaxy's coverage list today, and twelve of the sixteen covering firms were underwriters. The exception on each side is informative: Keefe, Bruyette & Woods underwrote and does not appear on the coverage list, while Citi, Citizens JMP, Chardan and Maxim Group cover without having underwritten.

Both firms whose published actions are recorded above were underwriters, so the two established targets in this table come from houses with a disclosed prior banking relationship with the issuer. That is a statement about the two rows this document established, not about the sixteen: what the other fourteen firms disclose about this issuer has not been read, and the banking relationship recorded in the conflict column is taken from the prospectus rather than from any firm's disclosure page. Whether a firm's own disclosures say more than the prospectus does is not established here.

A reader should note what that pattern does and does not support. It does not show that the underwriting relationship moved any rating, and no such inference is drawn. It does mean that the coverage available on this company is concentrated in firms that sold its shares, and that an independent check on the two targets recorded here is not available from within this table.

09Growth drivers

Ranked by how much of the outcome each controls, and by how settleable each is.

Helios Phase I reaching a full quarter of rent

All 133 MW of critical IT load under the Phase I lease was in service at 30 June, but rent commenced progressively through the quarter, so only $18.9M of leasing revenue was booked. Galaxy states it expects approximately $80M of quarterly leasing revenue and a project-level adjusted EBITDA margin above 90% from the third quarter. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026. This is the nearest and most settleable driver in the file: the third quarter results will show it or they will not.

Helios Phase II and III delivery

Phase II is a 260 MW critical IT expansion under construction, with HITT Contracting mobilised since April 2026, earthwork complete and foundations underway. Data hall deliveries are expected to begin in the second quarter of 2027. The CoreWeave leases across Phases I, II and III total 800 MW of gross power and 526 MW of critical IT load over a 15-year base term, which Galaxy states carries anticipated average annual revenue above $1.2B. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026.

Converting the pipeline beyond Helios

Galaxy's stated power pipeline exceeds 5.7 GW. The components are of very different quality and the file separates them: 1.63 GW is approved capacity at Helios, of which 830 MW is not yet leased; two further one-gigawatt requests, Helios III and IV, are in the ERCOT interconnection process; and three recently acquired Texas sites, Merlin, Caspian and Selene, carry potential capacity of roughly 74 MW initially rising to 500 MW, 700 MW and 900 MW respectively, each subject to interconnection. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026.

Analyst assumption

The gap between 1.63 GW approved and 5.7 GW pipeline is where most of the disagreement about this company sits. Approved capacity at an existing campus and a load request in an interconnection queue are not the same asset, and the company's own footnotes say so, distinguishing contracted capacity, capacity that has cleared development milestones, Batch Zero base load, Batch Zero studied load, and identified expansion opportunities. A reader who treats 5.7 GW as a single number is not reading what was filed.

Institutional digital asset infrastructure

The multi-year agreement with BNY, which Galaxy states oversees more than $60 trillion in assets under custody, covers staking support on BNY's digital asset custody platform, with Galaxy also acting as a design partner. Galaxy also launched an OTC prediction markets offering, the Galaxy Fintech Fund, and with State Street a tokenised private liquidity fund. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026. None of these carries a disclosed revenue figure, and none is modelled here.

10Risks

Severity-ranked, most severe first.

Debt raised against capacity not yet built or leased Severe

The $3.5B of senior secured notes closed on 28 July fund Helios I Phase II, whose data hall deliveries are not expected to begin until the second quarter of 2027. Interest accrues from now; the revenue it is meant to service arrives in roughly seven quarters. Notes payable were already $3,262.8M at 30 June against total equity of $2,720.1M. If Phase II slips, or if a tenant's obligations change, the company carries the financing cost through the gap. Notes interest expense has already risen to $25.1M in the quarter from $14.2M a year earlier. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026 and 8-K, Jul 28, 2026.

Concentration in a single data center tenant Severe

Every megawatt of leased critical IT load disclosed by Galaxy is contracted to CoreWeave: 526 MW across Phases I, II and III on a 15-year base term. The Data Centers segment has one customer. Galaxy's own risk disclosure lists risks associated with the leasing business including those associated with counterparties. The 830 MW of approved Helios capacity not yet under lease is the diversification that has not yet happened. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026.

Earnings driven by the firm's own digital asset positions Severe

Treasury & Corporate produced an adjusted gross loss of $42M and adjusted EBITDA of $(78)M in the second quarter, and $(140)M and $(167)M in the first. Between the third quarter of 2025 and the fourth, net income swung from $505.1M to $(481.7)M. This is a directional position in digital assets carried on the balance sheet of a company whose other businesses are fee and rent based, and it has determined the sign of reported earnings in each of the last four quarters. Filed 8-K financial supplement, Aug 5, 2026.

Power approvals outside the company's control Moderate

Helios III and IV, together 2 GW of the stated pipeline, are load requests progressing through the ERCOT interconnection process. Caspian and Selene, a further 1.6 GW, are expressly subject to that process. Galaxy lists any delay in obtaining, or failure to obtain, necessary ERCOT power approvals among its own risk factors. Roughly two thirds of the headline 5.7 GW pipeline depends on a decision the company does not make. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026.

That process has been stopped. On August 3, 2026 the Governor of Texas directed the Public Utility Commission of Texas and ERCOT to conduct a comprehensive verification and audit of all data centers advancing through ERCOT's interconnection process, and stated that any project failing to comply will be denied connection to the Texas grid. ERCOT suspended the Batch Zero Large Load classification notifications due by August 7, 2026 in market notice M-A080326-01, gives no replacement date, and will seek a good cause exception on the Batch Zero timelines at the Commission's open meeting of August 20, 2026. No completion deadline for the audit has been named. The requests this item turns on are inside the process being audited, and whether the audit reaches these particular requests, and on what test, is not established here.

The share count can double on exchange Moderate

196,596,698 Class B shares are exchangeable into Class A, against 194,798,949 Class A shares outstanding. Nothing about that is hidden, and it is not new dilution: the interest already exists and is already consolidated. But a reader comparing a per-share figure across sources will meet both denominators, and Galaxy itself uses the Class A basis for quarterly diluted earnings per share when the exchange is anti-dilutive and the full basis for the six-month figure. Filed 8-K, Aug 5, 2026.

Coverage concentrated in the firms that sold the stock Moderate

Twelve of the sixteen firms on Galaxy's own coverage list underwrote the May 2025 Class A offering, and both firms whose targets are recorded in section 8 are among them. This is not an allegation about any rating; it is a statement about how much independent external scrutiny is available. What each firm discloses about this issuer has not been read here. Filed 424B4, May 30, 2025.

A short filing history under the current registrant Lower

Galaxy Digital Inc. has filed one annual report on Form 10-K, on February 26, 2026, and four quarterly reports. The predecessor, Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd, filed no periodic reports with the Commission at all: its index holds 62 filings, all transaction-related. A United States reader looking for five years of comparable audited filings under this registrant will not find them. Filed SEC filing indexes for CIK 0001859392 and CIK 0001405064, searched Aug 5, 2026.

11Bull / base / bear

Each case with its preconditions: what must be true, not what might be.

Bear

Phase II slips past the second quarter of 2027 while $3.5B of notes accrue interest, the 830 MW of unleased Helios capacity finds no second tenant, and the Treasury book keeps setting the sign of reported earnings. Equity of $2.7B absorbs the carry until it cannot, and the company issues into a falling market.

Requires: a construction or interconnection delay at Helios II, no new lease on the unleased capacity, and digital asset prices at or below the second quarter's level.

Base

Phase I delivers roughly $80M of quarterly leasing revenue from the third quarter at the margin Galaxy states, Phase II lands broadly on schedule, and the Digital Assets segment continues to produce $60M to $90M of adjusted gross profit a quarter. Reported net income stays volatile because the Treasury position stays open, but adjusted gross profit turns consistently positive.

Requires: Phase I rent at the stated run rate, no interconnection setback at Helios II, and digital asset markets no worse than the second quarter.

Bull

The unleased 830 MW at Helios is contracted to a second tenant, Helios III or IV clears ERCOT, and the data center business is valued on contracted rent rather than on the digital asset cycle. The 5.7 GW pipeline starts being read as capacity rather than as ambition, and the two businesses are priced separately.

Requires: a second named data center tenant, at least one of the two one-gigawatt requests approved, and Phase I economics confirmed in reported results.

12Research summary

Galaxy is two businesses in one registrant, and the second quarter of 2026 is the first period in which that is visible in the numbers rather than in the narrative. Data Centers produced $20M of adjusted gross profit and $11M of adjusted EBITDA on 133 MW delivered to a single tenant. Digital Assets produced $66M and $(11)M. Treasury & Corporate lost $42M and $78M respectively and determined the sign of the reported result, as it has in each of the last four quarters.

The financing is now ahead of the asset. $3.5B of senior secured notes closed on 28 July against a build whose first deliveries are expected in the second quarter of 2027, on top of $3.26B of notes payable already outstanding at 30 June and total equity of $2.72B. Whether that is aggressive or merely early is the question the file cannot settle, and it is the question a reader should hold.

Three things would change the reading materially and each is settleable from a document: the third-quarter leasing revenue against Galaxy's own approximately $80M expectation; a second data center tenant for the 830 MW of approved but unleased Helios capacity; and an ERCOT determination on Helios III or IV. None requires an opinion to observe.

What this document could not establish is set out in section 14 and is not small: no enterprise value is struck, fourteen of the sixteen covering firms have no established rating or target here, and what those firms disclose about this issuer has not been read.

13Null categories

Requested categories with nothing to report. Status reads Covered above, None where a named source was checked and found empty, or Not established where the category was not examined. A category nobody looked at is a gap, not an absence.

CategoryStatusBasis
DividendsNoneNo common dividend has been declared or paid. No dividend appears in the 8-K of Aug 5, 2026 or across the 258 filings in the index for CIK 0001859392, searched Aug 5, 2026.
Share buybacksNoneNo repurchase program is disclosed. A self-tender on Form SC TO-I and its amendment appear in the index, relating to the reorganization rather than to an open-market program. Index for CIK 0001859392, searched Aug 5, 2026.
Analyst coverageCovered aboveSixteen firms named in section 8, from the issuer's own coverage page read Aug 5, 2026, with two established ratings and targets.
Securities class actionNot establishedCourt dockets were not searched. Also named in what was not checked.
Delinquent filings (Form NT)NoneNo NT 10-K, NT 10-Q or other notification of late filing appears anywhere in the 258 filings the index holds for CIK 0001859392, searched Aug 5, 2026. The index reports no overflow file, so this covers the whole record under this CIK.
Register filings the issuer made about othersNoneAll eleven Schedule 13D and 13G filings indexed under CIK 0001859392 name Galaxy as the subject. None runs outbound. Established by reading the subject and filer of each. Searched Aug 5, 2026.
Credit rating actionsNot establishedNo rating agency action was sought or read, though the July 2026 notes are rated instruments by their nature. Also named in what was not checked.
Index membershipNot establishedIndex provider announcements were not checked. Also named in what was not checked.
Short interestNot establishedNo exchange short interest report was retrieved. Also named in what was not checked.
Predecessor entity filingsNoneGalaxy Digital Holdings Ltd, CIK 0001405064, holds 62 filings, all registration and communication material under Rule 425 and Form S-4 connected to the reorganization, plus four Form D notices. It filed no periodic report and no Form 15 with the Commission. Searched Aug 5, 2026.

14Methodology & sources

Pricing basis, the tagging scheme, and, importantly, what was not checked.

Provenance tags

TagWhat it asserts
FiledStated in an SEC filing or company release, cited by form and date. Also covers a dated official publication by a named non-SEC issuer, with the issuer named in the source line.
EstimateDerived or inferred here. The arithmetic is shown.
OpenExpected but unconfirmed. Nothing filed either way.
MarketPrice, volume, float, published targets and ratings, stamped with the close or publication date. A third party's target or rating is market data, attributed to the firm that issued it and never adopted here.
PressReported by a named publication that is neither the issuer nor an analyst, cited by outlet and date. Corroborates; never the sole basis for a material claim.
SocialPublicly posted by a named account, cited by handle and date. Asserts that the statement was made, never that it is true.

Pricing basis

Every market figure in this document is struck on the close of August 12, 2026, at which GLXY closed at $21.08 on volume of 6,059,119 shares, about 0.78 times the mean of the nine preceding sessions. The document is stamped August 13, 2026, the day after, because the 13 August session had not settled when the figures were taken.

How the earlier basis was chosen, kept as the record and no longer bearing on the figures above. The document was previously struck on the 4 August close and stamped 5 August. The two dates differed because the 5 August session had not settled when those figures were taken: Nasdaq reported the market in its pre-open state with 4 August as the previous trading date.

The trading calendar used for the coverage table is derived from the exchange's own daily record for GLXY over 253 sessions from August 1, 2025 to August 4, 2026, so a date absent from that record is a date on which nothing traded. That record has not been extended past 4 August, which is sufficient for the coverage table, whose latest dated action is earlier, and is not the pricing basis above.

Sources

Primary sources are the filings indexed under Central Index Key 0001859392, swept to August 10, 2026, at which point the index held 270 filings dated May 5, 2021 onward and reported no overflow file, so the whole record under this CIK was available to the sweep. An earlier sweep of the same index on August 5, 2026 reached 258 filings. Every form family was enumerated before filtering, and register filings were matched on both the current and legacy spellings of the Schedule 13D and 13G form strings. The predecessor entity, Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd, CIK 0001405064, was swept separately; its 62 filings do not join this index and are described in section 13. Galaxy's investor relations coverage page was read on August 5, 2026. Two research notes, from Rosenblatt Securities dated August 3, 2026 and Compass Point dated 28 July and August 5, 2026, are the source of the ratings, targets and dates in section 8 and of nothing else in this document.

What was not checked

An unexamined area is a gap, not a clean bill. The following were not reached.

15Document log

Newest first. The original build entry is never removed or rewritten.

August 13, 2026 Latest
Texas interconnection audit carried · repriced to Aug 12, 2026 close · $21.08 · $8,251M cap
Correction

The power-approvals risk described a process that had been ordered audited. Helios III and IV at 2 GW, and Caspian and Selene at a further 1.6 GW, are load requests progressing through the ERCOT interconnection process. On August 3, 2026 the Governor of Texas directed the Commission and ERCOT to audit every data center advancing through that process, with non-compliant projects to be denied grid connection, and ERCOT suspended Batch Zero classification the same day in market notice M-A080326-01, pending a good cause exception at the Commission's open meeting of August 20, 2026. The file was stamped 12 August, nine days later. None of it is on EDGAR. The risk now carries the suspension and the calendar carries a dated catalyst at the Commission meeting.

Repriced to the 12 August close. $22.14 → $21.08, up 4.72% on the session against the one before, on volume of 6,059,119 shares, about 0.78 times the mean of the nine preceding sessions. Fully exchanged market capitalization $8,666M → $8,251M and the Class A basis $4,313M → $4,106M, both on unchanged June 30, 2026 share counts. Price to book 3.19× → 3.03×, price to equity attributable to the company 4.75× → 4.53×, and the Class A reading of the same ratio 2.37× → 2.25×. The prices shown beside third-party targets are not restruck, because each is the close on the date that action was published.

No filing moved. Nothing has been filed since this file's previous stamp and the issuer's newsroom carries nothing new.

August 12, 2026
Priced off Aug 4, 2026 close · no figure moved

The second-quarter Form 10-Q was filed August 10, 2026 and reconciles exactly to the August 5 release this report was struck from: net loss $(85,316) thousand against $(85.3M), total assets $10,843,981 thousand against $10,844.0M, data centre operating revenue $5.8M against $5.8M. No figure in this report moves.

Two net loss figures exist and this report carries the right one. The 10-Q reports $(85,316) thousand for Galaxy Digital Inc. and $(135,756) thousand for the Operating Partnership at Note 23. The Inc. figure is the one a holder of Class A stock is entitled to, and it is the one carried.

What the release did not carry. The outstanding commitment for construction of improvements at Helios is $1,489.2M at June 30, 2026, against $529.8M at December 31, 2025, nearly tripled in six months, with property and equipment up to $2,218.2M from $1,423.1M. Digital assets held fell to $3.5bn from $4.5bn, with net gains on digital assets of $237.3M in the quarter and $516.3M in the half. The 10-Q does not schedule the commitment, so when it falls due is not established.

Share counts are updated from the cover, at 194,292,392 Class A and 196,596,698 Class B as of August 7, 2026. The price was not restruck. The sweep reaches August 10, 2026 across 270 filings.

August 5, 2026
Priced off Aug 4, 2026 close · $22.14 · $8,666M cap
Correction

Two ratios in section 8 were said to bracket the answer, and they are struck on different bases. The pair given was 3.19×, a fully exchanged capitalization over consolidated equity, and 4.75×, the same fully exchanged capitalization over equity that excludes the noncontrolling interest. The second mixes a whole-entity numerator with a parent-only denominator, so it is not an end of a bracket. The basis-consistent parent-only ratio is now shown beside it at 2.37×, being the $4,313M Class A capitalization this document already states in section 7 divided by the same $1,823.4M. The claim that the original pair brackets the answer is withdrawn: the pair that brackets is 2.37× and 3.19×.

Original build. Built from Galaxy's second-quarter 2026 results, released on the morning of August 5, 2026 as a Form 8-K under Items 2.02, 7.01 and 9.01 with the press release, a quarterly update presentation and a financial supplement as exhibits; from the 8-K of July 28, 2026 reporting the $3.5B senior secured notes; from the complete filing index for Central Index Key 0001859392, 258 filings from May 5, 2021 to August 5, 2026, with each register filing read to establish whether it runs inbound or outbound; from the separate index of the predecessor entity Galaxy Digital Holdings Ltd, CIK 0001405064; from the 424B4 of May 30, 2025 for the underwriting syndicate; and from Galaxy's own investor relations coverage page read on August 5, 2026.

Pricing basis fixed at the August 4, 2026 close of $22.14. The document is stamped 5 August because the 5 August session had not settled: Nasdaq reported the market pre-open with 4 August as the previous trading date, so the previous close remains the basis and no figure is struck on an unfinished session. The trading calendar behind the coverage table is derived from the exchange's own daily record rather than from a rule about weekdays.

Conventions fixed at construction: market capitalization is computed on the fully exchanged share count of 391,395,647, being both classes at June 30, 2026, with the Class A figure of $4,313M given in section 7 so the two are not confused; price at publication in the coverage table is the close on the last trading day before each action, stated once above the table; and revenue is shown gross with transaction expenses beside it, because the gross figure exceeds adjusted gross profit by more than two hundred times.

Known gaps at this version: no enterprise value is derived, and the masthead field is omitted rather than filled; the second-quarter Form 10-Q was not yet filed, so all figures come from the unaudited 8-K and its exhibits; the indenture for the July notes was not read; court dockets, ERCOT queue records, SEDAR+, credit rating actions, index membership and short interest were not reached; and fourteen of the sixteen covering firms carry no established rating or target, with no firm's own disclosure page read.